ON BEANIE BABIES AND CRYPTOCURRENCY
When people used to ask me about crypto and NFTs, I used to say, no, I'm not interested; I lived through the Beanie Baby craze of the 90s. So close to it, in fact, that the documentary HBO did about Beanie Babies was set in Naperville, Il, the town next to where I grew up. (If you haven't watched that documentary, I highly recommend it, if only for the Beanie Baby Rap!) But crypto has been interesting to observe from the sidelines. Could you make money early in crypto? Yeah, sure, but you could have also made much money early on in Beanie Babies.
A few weeks ago, one of my favorite authors in finance wrote a guest essay for the NYT; Mihir Desai is a professor at HBS and the author of The Wisdom of Finance: Discovering Humanity in the World of Risk and Return. A brilliant economist himself, he uses literature and poetry to help explain complex financial concepts and how they relate to our everyday lives. In his NYT essay, he said,
"I have come to view cryptocurrencies not simply as exotic assets but as a manifestation of a magical thinking that had come to infect part of the generation who grew up in the aftermath of the Great Recession — and American capitalism, more broadly."
His use of the term "magical thinking," of course, immediately reminded me of Joan Didion's book on grief after losing her husband and caring for her sick daughter. And the concept of grief made me think a lot about a generation of entrepreneurs who came into leadership after the Great Recession of 2008. Again, Desai,
Where did this ideology come from? An exceptional period of low interest rates and excess liquidity provided the fertile soil for fantastical dreams to flourish. Pervasive consumer-facing technology allowed individuals to believe that the latest platform company or arrogant tech entrepreneur could change everything. Anger after the 2008 global financial crisis created a receptivity to radical economic solutions, and disappointment with traditional politics displaced social ambitions onto the world of commerce.
What Desai misses and Didion captures is the experience of grief and its ability to influence our thinking if it's repressed. Magical thinking is also a way to bargain with grief. But what happens when grief is never acknowledged? It is often said that anger and risk-seeking behaviors are a sign of unresolved grief. Could the last decade have been fueled by this unacknowledged grief, or as Michael Hutchence said, fed on nothing but full of pride?
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